The first RBA rate decision of 2019 and what it means for you

New year, new you? Not for the Reserve Bank of Australia. The RBA has kept the cash rate stable at 1.5 per cent for its first meeting of 2019. The result has now stayed the same since mid-2016, but speculation is mounting that the RBA will make its big move later this year. The hotly debated question is whether the next move will be a cut or an increase.

The case for an increase

Since the middle of last year, the RBA’s minutes have stated that “the next move in the cash rate would more likely be an increase than a decrease”. Among those predicting a rate increase is RBA board member Professor Ian Harper who recently cited the state of the domestic economy as justification for an upcoming increase. “So long as jobs growth is strong and unemployment is low, then fears about some sort of collapse in consumption, or inability to be able to pay bills, really have to be put way down the list of policy concerns,” Mr Harper told the Wall Street Journal.

The case for a cut

Asia-Pacific economist for Indeed, Callam Pickering, told The Sydney Morning Herald last week that the “ducks are lining up for a Reserve Bank rate cut”. “Whether it is inflation or house prices or business sentiment, they all point towards a slowing economy. An economy that may very well require lower interest rates,” Mr. Pickering said. AMP’s Shane Oliver believes the RBA will be forced to cut the cash rate by 50 basis points to 1 per cent in response to rising costs and weakening demand. “The gap between the three-month bank bill rate and the expected RBA cash rate has blown out again to about 0.58 per cent compared to a norm of around 0.23 per cent,” said Dr. Oliver.

Out of cycle rate rises

Although the cash rate has remained stable for an extended period, lenders frequently adjust the rates they charge customers. In fact, many lenders have increased rates over the last six months. Increased funding costs have been a significant driver of these rate rises. It is becoming more expensive for lenders to borrow money so they are passing the cost onto you as a borrower.

What does this mean for you?

With uncertainty over the RBA’s movements coupled with out-of-cycle rate rises, it’s important to regularly monitor how your current deal compares to the market. After all, who wants to stay with a lender that keeps on jacking up rates if there’s a better value option? Luckily, UNO has introduced loanScore – a free tool that gives you alerts as to whether or not you’re on a good home loan deal. Each month, loanScore compares your home loan against thousands of real time deals from Australia’s leading lenders. You get a new loanScore from 1-100 which reflects how your loan stacks up in comparison to the market. And our team of brokers will work with you to optimise your current loan. And best of all you can sign up for free in a matter of minutes. Book a call in with UNO

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June 25, 2024
Eren Tan is absolutely one of the best mortgage brokers in Melbourne! Keeping us well informed throughout the process. Eren gave us a helpful hand in managing to get our loan over the line in a quick and efficient way which is what we wanted and he delivered on that. Thank you Eren Tan!
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June 21, 2024
I only have praise from my Uno experience! I was a broker sceptic, having done all of the hard work myself for my first two property purchases and sale. I'm now a proud broker advocate having used UNO (Karis Churchill) for two refinances and purchase. The value add Karis brought cannot be underrated! Not only has Karis got me the best rate, with a bonus cash back (nearly unheard of in this climate), she has done it with the least back-a-forth and with the least administrative burden on me (the thing that can deters people from refinancing to begin with). Karis is always on top of everything. Karis knows her stuff. She is the most responsive of any professional service provider I've ever used (my banker never text with an update at 7pm on a Sunday) without being overbearing. You know she's got your back and in my experience the value speaks for itself. Thank you to the whole UNO team, thank you especially to Karis.
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June 8, 2024
Very pleased with the outcome of this process, Michael Parsons and his team at UNO were helpful, communicative, and took all the stress out of the process of finding me a refinance deal that met my needs. Would definitely recommend Michael and UNO, and I already have!
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May 29, 2024
Regarding UNO Home Loan services. I had great experience with uno home loans, Michael parsons was my broker for UNO Home Loans we had excellent communication throughout the whole home loan application. If I had any questions on home loan application which were many were answered in great detail. He had the time to assist me in filling out endless application forms at anytime through the day or night which made the application process stress free. So I would strongly recommend Michael parsons from UNO Home Loans to try his services you will not be disappointed. Thanks to Michael parsons I have the lowest home loan interest rate I could ever hope for which I particularly ask for. It’s was a pleasure working with him. And will be using his services in the near future.
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May 28, 2024
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First time I have used a Broker and I must say Andrew Wyers and his team were amazing to work with and handled my refinance from a Big4 bank. He was able to understand my needs and find a lender that will be able to help me grow my investment portfolio. Andrew and his team kept me updated as part of my refinance journey and made the process super easy and I was able to refi to new lender in under 2 weeks. Would highly recommend Andrew.
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